Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | HALL -1000 SIE +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +5 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | HALL -10.9 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -8.1 (-13.1) | 139.2 (-24.2) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -11.0 (-16.0) | 137.8 (-22.8) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -8.8 (-13.8) | 141.6 (-26.6) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -8.0 (-13.0) | 140.4 (-25.4) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#55) | -2.5 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#92) | -1.90 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#96) | -2.27 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#72) | 0.413 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 40.3% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 34.9% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.3% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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