Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | ASU -1600 ALCN +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +22 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -13.3 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -13.6 (+8.4) | 139.2 (-9.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -14.6 (+7.4) | 137.0 (-7.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -11.2 (+10.8) | 136.4 (-6.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -12.8 (+9.2) | 136.4 (-6.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-2 |
| Away | 7-6 | 10-10 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#40) | 2.9 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#59) | 2.42 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.34 (#46) | 3.82 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#38) | 0.633 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.