He is handing the money / He is serving the food / He knows about your party / He is calling you dude. "Comfort Eagle" - Cake
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · November 27, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -2.5 Away covered
O/U 127.5 Over
Money CAM -150 / STET +163
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual CAM +2 172 Won
Massey CAM -8.4 (-6.4) — —
Massey Totals — 135.9 (+36.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 85% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CAM -6.2 (-4.2) 138.3 (+33.7) 76% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAM -5.4 (-3.4) 136.8 (+35.2) 75% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -6.8 (-4.8) 136.8 (+35.2) 75% ✓
Baseline ML CAM -7.3 (-5.3) 137.2 (+34.8) 77% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 27, 2021 CAM 60 – 58 STET

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CAM STET
Overall 16-18 17-14
Conference 8-10 12-6
Home 8-6 9-3
Away 4-10 7-9
Neutral 4-2 1-2
Last 5 2-3 3-1
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 68.7 74.9
Avg Pts Against 69.0 75.1
Massey 4.4 (#95) 2.7 (#126)
Bradley-Terry 0.53 (#143) 0.17 (#179)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.22 (#118) -0.53 (#202)
RPI 0.476 (#206) 0.450 (#247)
Shooting & Four Factors CAM STET
FG% 44.7% 44.4%
3PT% 37.4% 38.9%
REB / G 30.4 35.2
OREB / G 6.2 11.8
AST / TO 0.98 1.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.5% 53.8%
TOV% 19.4% 12.7%
ORB% 19.1% 34.6%
FT Rate 22.2% 21.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.4% 47.7%
Opp TOV% 20.8% 11.6%
DRB% 74.2% 63.9%
Opp FT Rate 30.6% 19.7%

Game Analysis

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