Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -500 CMU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +16 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -4.4 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -5.6 (+10.4) | 138.1 (-0.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -6.2 (+9.8) | 136.9 (+1.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -4.9 (+11.1) | 137.4 (+0.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -4.5 (+11.5) | 137.4 (+0.6) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#223) | -0.1 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#243) | -0.92 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#219) | -2.17 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#242) | 0.420 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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