Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | SMU -5000 LAM +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMU +25 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | SMU -8.4 (+16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMU -11.2 (+13.8) | 141.8 (-16.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -7.0 (+18.0) | 141.7 (-16.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -7.1 (+17.9) | 142.2 (-17.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMU -7.9 (+17.1) | 143.2 (-18.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2023 | SMU 78 – 67 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-9 | 6-9 |
| Away | 1-11 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#254) | -6.0 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#247) | -1.74 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#220) | -3.39 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#215) | 0.359 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 18.9% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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