I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Gallagher-Iba Arena · November 27, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread OKST -20.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money OKST -2500 / PV +1400
Model Predictions
Spread Total OKST win
Actual OKST +25 131 Won
Massey OKST -5.3 (+19.7)
Massey Totals 145.8 (-14.8)
Bradley-Terry 73%
Weighted B-T 74%
Efficiency Plus ML OKST -8.0 (+17.0) 138.2 (-7.2) 81%
Baseline Tuned ML OKST -5.6 (+19.4) 143.3 (-12.3) 70%
Baseline ML OKST -6.2 (+18.8) 143.5 (-12.5) 74%
Baseline Plus ML OKST -4.5 (+20.5) 144.4 (-13.4) 66%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 13, 2025 OKST 9467 PV
Nov 14, 2021 OKST 7259 PV

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OKST PV
Overall 20-16 13-19
Conference 8-10 9-9
Home 12-6 9-3
Away 6-7 4-14
Neutral 2-3 0-2
Last 5 3-2 2-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.3 66.0
Avg Pts Against 65.8 68.3
Massey 4.0 (#103) 5.4 (#79)
Bradley-Terry -0.24 (#199) 0.18 (#178)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.02 (#183) 0.57 (#158)
RPI 0.508 (#165) 0.462 (#224)
Shooting & Four Factors OKST PV
FG% 44.9% 43.0%
3PT% 28.8% 33.3%
REB / G 40.5 35.2
OREB / G 12.2 11.8
AST / TO 1.00 1.24
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.9% 48.0%
TOV% 20.4% 16.1%
ORB% 34.6% 32.6%
FT Rate 23.7% 20.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 41.6% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 21.6% 20.8%
DRB% 72.3% 79.0%
Opp FT Rate 23.0% 42.2%

Game Analysis

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