Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Gallagher-Iba Arena · November 14, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread OKST -21.0 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money OKST -2800 / PV +1300
Model Predictions
Spread Total OKST win
Actual OKST +13 131 Won
Massey OKST -17.3 (-4.3)
Massey Totals 144.5 (-13.5)
Bradley-Terry 79%
Weighted B-T 89%
Efficiency Plus ML OKST -15.4 (-2.4) 135.4 (-4.4) 90%
Baseline Tuned ML OKST -13.3 (-0.3) 140.8 (-9.8) 84%
Baseline ML OKST -16.9 (-3.9) 140.7 (-9.7) 87%
Baseline Plus ML OKST -14.4 (-1.4) 142.2 (-11.2) 86%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 13, 2025 OKST 9467 PV
Nov 27, 2022 OKST 7853 PV

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OKST PV
Overall 15-15 8-19
Conference 8-10 8-10
Home 10-6 5-4
Away 3-8 3-15
Neutral 2-1 0-2
Last 5 1-1 0-3
Streak W2 L4
Avg Pts For 68.4 69.5
Avg Pts Against 65.7 76.3
Massey 3.8 (#87) -1.5 (#200)
Bradley-Terry -1.63 (#308) -0.58 (#257)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.69 (#291) -0.79 (#261)
RPI 0.200 (#244) 0.500 (#103)
Shooting & Four Factors OKST PV
FG% 45.2% 47.0%
3PT% 28.6% 30.6%
REB / G 40.5 23.0
OREB / G 13.5 6.5
AST / TO 1.17 0.52
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 51.7%
TOV% 21.3% 18.4%
ORB% 37.0% 19.7%
FT Rate 15.3% 21.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 41.9% 67.9%
Opp TOV% 28.9% 26.7%
DRB% 76.1% 58.9%
Opp FT Rate 12.4% 28.4%

Game Analysis

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