Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | BRWN -175 ME +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +7 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | ME -6.9 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -6.0 (+13.0) | 138.6 (-5.6) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -2.8 (+9.8) | 136.4 (-3.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -4.1 (+11.1) | 139.8 (-6.8) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ME -4.9 (+11.9) | 140.3 (-7.3) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2025 | BRWN 58 – 53 ME |
| Nov 10, 2024 | ME 69 – 67 BRWN |
| Dec 3, 2023 | ME 60 – 49 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#330) | 3.8 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.88 (#337) | 1.58 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.18 (#336) | 2.18 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.269 (#362) | 0.528 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 50.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 57.8% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 83.2% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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