You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Skip Chappelle Court in Memorial Gymnasium · November 23, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread BRWN -1.5 Away covered
O/U 127.5 Under
Money ME +110 / BRWN -130
Model Predictions
Spread Total ME win
Actual BRWN +5 111 Lost
Massey ME -8.7 (-13.7)
Massey Totals 126.6 (-15.6)
Bradley-Terry 89%
Weighted B-T 94%
Efficiency Plus ML ME -4.5 (-9.5) 130.5 (-19.5) 62%
Baseline Tuned ML ME -5.5 (-10.5) 128.7 (-17.7) 67%
Baseline ML ME -6.2 (-11.2) 129.2 (-18.2) 63%
Baseline Plus ML ME -6.3 (-11.3) 127.3 (-16.3) 70%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 10, 2024 ME 6967 BRWN
Dec 3, 2023 ME 6049 BRWN
Nov 27, 2022 BRWN 7063 ME

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ME BRWN
Overall 8-24 9-18
Conference 6-10 3-11
Home 4-8 6-8
Away 4-14 3-10
Neutral 0-2 0-0
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L3 L3
Avg Pts For 61.2 67.2
Avg Pts Against 68.5 72.4
Massey -4.9 (#255) -7.4 (#291)
Bradley-Terry -2.55 (#335) -3.34 (#357)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.63 (#333) -4.84 (#350)
RPI 0.375 (#321) 0.303 (#360)
Shooting & Four Factors ME BRWN
FG% 40.9% 44.0%
3PT% 29.0% 34.0%
REB / G 29.8 33.2
OREB / G 7.8 10.0
AST / TO 0.76 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.4% 51.2%
TOV% 22.0% 20.4%
ORB% 23.1% 29.0%
FT Rate 27.1% 19.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.2% 49.9%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 17.5%
DRB% 61.8% 65.0%
Opp FT Rate 30.0% 26.2%

Game Analysis

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