Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | ME +110 BRWN -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +5 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | ME -8.7 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -6.3 (-11.3) | 127.3 (-16.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -4.5 (-9.5) | 130.5 (-19.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -5.5 (-10.5) | 128.7 (-17.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ME -6.2 (-11.2) | 129.2 (-18.2) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2024 | ME 69 – 67 BRWN |
| Dec 3, 2023 | ME 60 – 49 BRWN |
| Nov 27, 2022 | BRWN 70 – 63 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 3-11 |
| Home | 4-8 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-14 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#255) | -7.4 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#335) | -3.34 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.63 (#333) | -4.84 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#321) | 0.303 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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