Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -600 ETSU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +15 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -10.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (-23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -7.7 (+7.3) | 139.9 (-30.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -5.7 (+9.3) | 136.9 (-27.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -6.9 (+8.1) | 139.5 (-30.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -8.0 (+7.0) | 139.1 (-30.1) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2021 | ETSU 86 – 84 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#196) | -4.4 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#195) | -2.32 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#210) | -3.58 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#95) | 0.364 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 38.2% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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