Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +2 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -2.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+31.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -2.5 (-4.5) | 138.3 (+31.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -0.7 (-2.7) | 139.2 (+30.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -2.8 (-4.8) | 140.8 (+29.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -2.7 (-4.7) | 141.6 (+28.4) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | UGA 62 – 47 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-13 | 8-6 |
| Away | 0-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#199) | 0.4 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#215) | 0.48 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#210) | 0.93 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#184) | 0.513 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 10.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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