Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | AUB -275 SLU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +5 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -11.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -9.1 (-4.1) | 146.7 (-21.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -9.4 (-4.4) | 147.1 (-22.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -10.6 (-5.6) | 145.8 (-20.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -10.9 (-5.9) | 146.1 (-21.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2021 | AUB 74 – 70 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 15-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#51) | 3.8 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.26 (#14) | 1.88 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.53 (#18) | 3.22 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.653 (#27) | 0.679 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 42.7 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 15.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 42.0% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.2% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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