Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +4 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | AUB -4.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -1.6 (-2.4) | 154.3 (-10.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -0.6 (-3.4) | 150.5 (-6.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -2.6 (-1.4) | 149.3 (-5.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -1.4 (-2.6) | 149.2 (-5.2) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | AUB 65 – 60 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 28-6 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-5 | 16-0 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#61) | 16.9 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#80) | 2.89 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#76) | 3.99 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#94) | 0.658 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.5% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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