Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | UTAH -1700 STMN +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +29 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -13.1 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (+26.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -11.4 (+17.6) | 134.9 (+26.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -13.0 (+16.0) | 137.8 (+23.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -10.3 (+18.7) | 137.6 (+23.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -10.3 (+18.7) | 138.7 (+22.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#41) | 3.0 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#65) | 1.50 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.23 (#53) | 1.34 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#132) | 0.550 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 43.5 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 59.2% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.1% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.5% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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