Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | JXST -110 NDSU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -5.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -5.6 (+4.4) | 143.5 (+8.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -6.7 (+3.3) | 141.0 (+11.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -4.7 (+5.3) | 143.9 (+8.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -5.3 (+4.7) | 145.3 (+6.7) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | NDSU 56 – 43 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#245) | -9.6 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#288) | -3.89 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.68 (#305) | -5.05 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#244) | 0.407 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 10.3% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 81.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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