Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | NJIT +120 WAG -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NJIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +5 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | NJIT -4.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NJIT -2.0 (-7.0) | 130.8 (-11.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NJIT -2.7 (-7.7) | 131.3 (-12.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NJIT -2.9 (-7.9) | 131.6 (-12.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -1.6 (-3.4) | 128.6 (-9.6) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | WAG 50 – 43 NJIT |
| Nov 25, 2023 | WAG 64 – 51 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NJIT | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 8-8 |
| Home | 5-8 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 62.3 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#257) | -2.6 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#244) | 0.37 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#237) | 0.22 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#307) | 0.510 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NJIT | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 42.9% |
Game Analysis
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