Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | WAG -300 NJIT +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +13 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | WAG -17.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -11.1 (+1.9) | 134.0 (-19.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -11.1 (+1.9) | 134.2 (-19.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -10.7 (+2.3) | 134.9 (-19.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -9.9 (+3.1) | 134.8 (-19.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | WAG 50 – 43 NJIT |
| Nov 27, 2022 | WAG 62 – 57 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 7-21 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 3-13 |
| Home | 7-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 9-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.0 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#275) | -15.3 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#306) | -2.35 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#293) | -3.62 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.326 (#344) | 0.368 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.9% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.3% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 13.1% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 63.7% | 55.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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