Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 120.5 Under |
| Money | NJIT +125 WAG -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NJIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +7 | 93 | Lost |
| Massey | WAG -0.4 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 108.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -0.0 (-7.0) | 120.3 (-27.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NJIT -0.6 (-7.6) | 122.9 (-29.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -0.1 (-6.9) | 120.5 (-27.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -1.3 (-5.7) | 119.8 (-26.8) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2023 | WAG 64 – 51 NJIT |
| Nov 27, 2022 | WAG 62 – 57 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NJIT | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 6-10 |
| Home | 4-9 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-16 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 57.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -14.0 (#351) | -9.2 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.89 (#351) | -0.32 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.55 (#346) | -1.13 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.321 (#361) | 0.495 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NJIT | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 34.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 40.0% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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