Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | PENN -163 DEL +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +13 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | PENN -7.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -4.8 (+8.2) | 145.5 (+13.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -2.9 (+10.1) | 144.2 (+14.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -5.2 (+7.8) | 145.5 (+13.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -5.6 (+7.4) | 145.1 (+13.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-13 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#180) | -0.5 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#104) | -0.12 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#101) | -0.06 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#145) | 0.476 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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