See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
Swinney Center · November 27, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread KC -2.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money KC -138 / SIUE +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total KC win
Actual SIUE +10 118 Lost
Massey KC -4.7 (-14.7) — —
Massey Totals — 135.8 (-17.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 88% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML KC -4.4 (-14.4) 138.7 (-20.7) 68% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KC -3.7 (-13.7) 138.6 (-20.6) 57% ✗
Baseline Plus ML KC -1.9 (-11.9) 140.0 (-22.0) 54% ✗
Baseline ML KC -4.0 (-14.0) 139.0 (-21.0) 66% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 12, 2021 SIUE 60 – 56 KC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KC SIUE
Overall 11-21 19-14
Conference 7-11 9-9
Home 6-8 9-5
Away 3-11 7-8
Neutral 2-2 3-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 63.0 73.2
Avg Pts Against 69.5 72.1
Massey 0.1 (#179) 2.1 (#135)
Bradley-Terry 1.44 (#84) 0.83 (#114)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.26 (#80) 0.82 (#139)
RPI 0.638 (#35) 0.510 (#164)
Shooting & Four Factors KC SIUE
FG% 37.6% 45.3%
3PT% 25.0% 29.6%
REB / G 37.7 35.0
OREB / G 13.0 10.2
AST / TO 0.54 0.62
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.0% 50.3%
TOV% 23.7% 21.0%
ORB% 35.9% 30.2%
FT Rate 27.9% 34.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.0% 52.1%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 22.7%
DRB% 65.8% 69.7%
Opp FT Rate 22.5% 20.3%

Game Analysis

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