Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
First Community Arena · December 12, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread KC -1.5 Home covered
O/U 129.0 Under
Money SIUE +100 / KC -120
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIUE win
Actual SIUE +4 116 Won
Massey SIUE -3.9 (+0.1) — —
Massey Totals — 135.7 (-19.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 35% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 18% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SIUE -2.3 (+1.7) 138.0 (-22.0) 60% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SIUE -1.0 (+3.0) 132.0 (-16.0) 59% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -1.7 (+2.3) 135.7 (-19.7) 60% ✓
Baseline ML SIUE -2.4 (+1.6) 138.1 (-22.1) 63% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 27, 2022 SIUE 64 – 54 KC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIUE KC
Overall 11-21 19-12
Conference 5-13 12-6
Home 8-5 11-3
Away 3-13 8-7
Neutral 0-3 0-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 66.7 70.7
Avg Pts Against 72.4 71.0
Massey -3.5 (#243) -2.5 (#223)
Bradley-Terry -1.35 (#275) 0.12 (#176)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.35 (#299) 0.16 (#177)
RPI 0.439 (#269) 0.495 (#182)
Shooting & Four Factors SIUE KC
FG% 42.1% 46.0%
3PT% 26.9% 36.4%
REB / G 37.1 29.9
OREB / G 12.8 7.0
AST / TO 0.89 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.4% 52.4%
TOV% 21.8% 19.7%
ORB% 34.8% 22.4%
FT Rate 21.3% 13.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.8% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 20.7% 19.1%
DRB% 69.7% 75.8%
Opp FT Rate 28.5% 29.5%

Game Analysis

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