Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -150 QUIN +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -0.6 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -0.9 (+2.9) | 144.6 (-2.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -1.7 (+3.7) | 142.8 (-0.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -0.6 (+2.6) | 143.8 (-1.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -0.9 (+2.9) | 142.5 (-0.5) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | HOF 74 – 66 QUIN |
| Dec 29, 2024 | QUIN 75 – 69 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 11-5 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#117) | 3.8 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#49) | 2.65 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.61 (#71) | 3.74 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.682 (#10) | 0.521 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 19.7% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.0% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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