Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | QUIN +110 HOF -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -0.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -1.5 (+4.5) | 136.9 (+7.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -1.6 (+4.4) | 137.3 (+6.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -1.4 (+4.6) | 136.5 (+7.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -1.7 (+4.3) | 136.6 (+7.4) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | HOF 74 – 66 QUIN |
| Nov 27, 2022 | HOF 72 – 70 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-10 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#264) | -1.3 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#232) | 0.89 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#233) | 0.88 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#244) | 0.551 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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