Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UTC +110 MUR -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -1.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -0.3 (+2.7) | 147.3 (-12.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -0.6 (+2.4) | 146.3 (-11.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -1.1 (+1.9) | 143.8 (-8.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -0.9 (+2.1) | 143.7 (-8.7) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2021 | MUR 87 – 76 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#212) | 3.1 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#321) | 1.15 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.54 (#321) | 2.18 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#179) | 0.602 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 11.7% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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