Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +11 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | MUR -5.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+29.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -5.8 (+5.2) | 138.8 (+24.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -3.2 (+7.8) | 137.3 (+25.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -6.1 (+4.9) | 141.4 (+21.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -6.1 (+4.9) | 142.2 (+20.8) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | UTC 69 – 66 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-3 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-0 | 12-3 |
| Away | 11-1 | 12-4 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 65.4 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#37) | 9.1 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#37) | 2.04 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#54) | 2.67 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#27) | 0.601 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 40.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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