This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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52–18 on winners spread MAE 8.8 70 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Iowa @ TCU -10.5 149.0 21% 66–79 ✗
San Diego @ Nicholls -8.3 158.7 23% 70–72 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Montana State -2.7 139.0 40% 70–53 ✓
UIC @ Green Bay -3.1 137.7 25% 78–64 ✓
Murray State @ Chattanooga +0.9 143.7 55% 66–69 ✓
Morehead State @ Marshall +20.4 140.6 90% 59–83 ✓
American University @ Saint Francis +0.1 141.1 49% 66–55 ✗
East Carolina @ Old Dominion +4.0 147.5 68% 50–71 ✓
North Dakota State @ New Mexico +21.0 151.8 89% 55–76 ✓
Fairfield @ Mercer +0.9 142.5 57% 58–60 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Kansas City +4.0 139.0 66% 64–54 ✗
Central Michigan @ California Baptist +4.5 137.4 64% 61–77 ✓
Long Beach State @ North Texas +0.7 132.6 56% 47–68 ✓
St. Thomas @ Utah +10.3 138.7 78% 66–95 ✓
Chicago State @ Marquette +26.0 153.1 90% 68–82 ✓
New Mexico State @ UC Irvine +2.8 135.7 63% 68–85 ✓
Southern Utah @ Sacramento State +1.4 142.1 54% 91–87 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Northern Colorado -2.9 142.8 36% 82–86 ✗
Texas State @ Hawai'i +2.0 130.6 59% 65–72 ✓
Iona @ Santa Clara -7.5 138.7 23% 76–86 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ UNC Greensboro -1.6 136.3 40% 75–58 ✓
Stanford @ Memphis +4.7 136.1 64% 48–56 ✓
Valparaiso @ James Madison +18.7 143.2 87% 81–79 ✗
Oakland @ Missouri State +14.0 145.4 85% 64–76 ✓
Rhode Island @ Boston College +8.8 131.5 77% 49–53 ✓
Stetson @ Campbell +7.3 137.2 77% 85–87 ✓
Stonehill @ UMass Lowell +17.3 154.3 88% 59–73 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ UC Davis +0.4 142.8 51% 71–73 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Georgia +8.0 139.1 69% 47–62 ✓
Montana State @ Middle Tennessee +2.7 132.1 62% 71–72 ✓
Harvard @ Fordham +5.3 134.7 74% 60–68 ✓
Ole Miss @ Oklahoma +1.8 129.0 56% 55–59 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Northern Kentucky +4.9 137.8 69% 77–85 ✓
Radford @ Elon -5.9 143.0 27% 69–53 ✓
Wagner @ NJIT +2.7 131.3 58% 62–57 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ North Dakota +1.1 147.1 55% 57–73 ✓
Belmont @ Georgia State +1.0 139.6 54% 68–66 ✗
Drexel @ Temple +2.6 136.9 64% 61–73 ✓
Alabama State @ Ohio +15.5 145.2 88% 58–72 ✓
Northwestern State @ Bethune-Cookman -5.5 138.1 25% 69–66 ✓
UC San Diego @ Eastern Michigan +2.5 147.5 49% 66–63 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Saint Peter's +7.1 151.1 71% 63–77 ✓
Maine @ Brown -4.9 140.3 36% 63–70 ✗
Hartford @ Colgate +15.5 145.0 88% 58–92 ✓
South Alabama @ Robert Morris -8.1 129.8 23% 84–70 ✓
Canisius @ Buffalo +4.2 150.7 64% 66–86 ✓
San José State @ Ball State +3.0 140.5 58% 67–65 ✗
Saint Louis @ Auburn +10.9 146.1 81% 60–65 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Oklahoma State +6.2 143.5 74% 53–78 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Northern Arizona +10.0 136.9 77% 92–82 ✗
Lamar @ SMU +7.1 142.2 74% 50–75 ✓
Montana @ Air Force +5.0 133.2 69% 56–59 ✓
Villanova @ Oregon +2.0 139.0 60% 67–74 ✓
Wofford @ LSU +14.9 142.0 83% 75–78 ✓
Yale @ Colorado +2.7 140.4 71% 62–65 ✓
North Carolina @ Alabama +4.1 151.1 68% 101–103 ✓
Duke @ Purdue +2.0 129.8 50% 56–75 ✓
Boston University @ Milwaukee +2.4 141.8 60% 46–67 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Hofstra -0.9 142.5 50% 70–72 ✗
Delaware @ Pennsylvania +5.6 145.1 75% 73–86 ✓
Idaho State @ Central Arkansas +3.0 143.6 63% 77–81 ✓
Towson @ Mercer -4.0 139.3 32% 70–60 ✓
North Dakota State @ Jacksonville State +5.3 143.3 66% 71–81 ✓
Siena @ Seton Hall +8.0 140.4 72% 60–55 ✗
Alcorn State @ Arizona State +12.8 136.4 81% 54–76 ✓
Miami @ UCF +7.1 139.4 68% 66–64 ✗
Portland @ Michigan State +1.2 145.8 57% 77–78 ✓
Long Beach State @ Vermont -0.5 138.7 47% 78–58 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Florida International +4.9 146.8 72% 79–90 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Grambling +5.1 136.2 63% 63–61 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.