Four young chiquitas in Omaha waitin' for the band to return from the show. "We're an American Band" - Grand Funk Railroad
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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44–29 on winners spread MAE 7.3 73 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Murray State @ Tennessee Tech -12.0 141.3 14% 80–75 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Marshall -3.3 145.1 32% 81–79 ✓
Saint Francis @ Wagner +15.9 147.9 89% 54–69 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Sacred Heart +3.0 146.5 63% 71–66 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Fairleigh Dickinson -6.3 136.6 24% 67–56 ✓
Long Island University @ Central Connecticut -6.2 144.4 26% 62–65 ✗
Merrimack @ Bryant +9.3 135.2 82% 67–76 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ UNC Asheville +2.3 137.9 58% 61–55 ✗
North Alabama @ Liberty +15.7 136.1 88% 53–72 ✓
Lipscomb @ Jacksonville +5.9 137.6 73% 59–66 ✓
UIC @ Detroit Mercy +5.4 143.6 74% 67–80 ✓
Milwaukee @ Robert Morris -0.9 142.8 45% 53–77 ✗
Green Bay @ Youngstown State +7.2 138.2 76% 50–63 ✓
Little Rock @ Coastal Carolina +10.2 146.0 86% 49–65 ✓
Drexel @ James Madison +1.7 150.2 60% 88–82 ✗
Hofstra @ Charleston -1.6 154.9 43% 76–73 ✓
Northeastern @ UNC Wilmington +6.2 139.7 77% 62–67 ✓
William & Mary @ Elon +7.5 144.4 78% 54–61 ✓
Delaware @ Towson +8.0 145.4 79% 0–0 ✗
Rice @ Louisiana Tech +10.7 151.6 82% 63–80 ✓
Bellarmine @ Stetson -2.6 136.3 34% 72–47 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw State +2.4 143.1 58% 70–64 ✗
Georgia Southern @ UL Monroe +0.9 141.8 54% 50–45 ✗
Ohio State @ Minnesota -1.8 140.3 43% 75–64 ✓
Ball State @ Northern Illinois +1.2 144.6 56% 74–67 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Southern Illinois -7.6 128.1 23% 44–39 ✓
Florida International @ UTSA -4.6 135.8 27% 66–73 ✗
North Texas @ Southern Miss -12.4 125.9 13% 63–54 ✓
Weber State @ Northern Colorado +0.4 158.5 52% 85–76 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Houston Christian -4.3 144.3 30% 77–66 ✓
Utah Valley @ Chicago State -13.4 133.0 14% 101–87 ✓
Central Arkansas @ North Florida +4.4 146.6 64% 74–93 ✓
Texas State @ UT Arlington -1.5 137.8 43% 58–70 ✗
Troy @ South Alabama +5.1 136.6 72% 63–82 ✓
Georgia State @ Louisiana +6.7 143.7 77% 68–64 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Omaha -14.2 159.3 13% 100–88 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota +2.2 145.7 62% 74–62 ✗
North Dakota @ South Dakota State +18.9 159.8 91% 61–96 ✓
Tennessee State @ SIU Edwardsville +4.2 142.9 66% 75–70 ✗
Belmont @ Austin Peay -13.1 146.7 14% 75–67 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State +3.8 146.8 64% 70–79 ✓
Nicholls @ McNeese -2.0 150.7 43% 81–71 ✓
Purdue @ Iowa +1.1 158.4 53% 83–73 ✗
California @ UCLA +14.5 137.3 88% 57–81 ✓
East Carolina @ Memphis +10.3 151.0 86% 54–71 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis +0.6 141.9 52% 74–58 ✗
Morehead State @ Southeast Missouri State -5.0 149.5 25% 74–73 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ UT Martin +12.2 130.8 87% 58–53 ✗
UAB @ Western Kentucky -4.9 150.0 29% 68–65 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UTEP +2.3 136.7 61% 68–70 ✓
Idaho @ Montana +10.3 146.7 86% 62–81 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana State +6.6 148.4 77% 65–69 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ SE Louisiana +0.3 147.9 53% 86–71 ✗
Kansas City @ Denver +1.3 139.7 56% 72–61 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Irvine +8.2 125.6 78% 52–57 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC San Diego +5.7 135.6 73% 59–55 ✗
Long Beach State @ UC Riverside +3.5 135.6 67% 68–62 ✗
Southern Utah @ Portland State -5.4 144.3 27% 85–82 ✓
Idaho State @ Sacramento State +9.3 134.9 83% 60–61 ✓
Pacific @ Portland +5.3 136.3 71% 56–64 ✓
Saint Mary's @ San Francisco +3.2 132.3 62% 72–70 ✗
Pepperdine @ San Diego +8.6 140.7 82% 56–64 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Gonzaga +20.9 158.9 91% 55–89 ✓
Stanford @ USC +10.5 141.5 83% 64–61 ✗
Colorado @ Washington -1.7 138.9 45% 58–60 ✗
BYU @ Santa Clara -1.2 152.3 46% 76–77 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Hawai'i +13.4 130.8 88% 65–72 ✓
Colgate @ Boston University +1.1 140.5 54% 72–76 ✓
Lehigh @ Holy Cross -5.0 141.2 26% 65–67 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Harvard +1.9 146.4 62% 78–74 ✗
Stony Brook @ New Hampshire +0.5 140.9 52% 76–69 ✗
Canisius @ Monmouth +10.5 140.7 86% 67–72 ✓
Wyoming @ Air Force -8.0 131.9 19% 63–61 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.