Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SDAK +105 NDSU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +12 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | SDAK -1.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -0.3 (-12.3) | 144.1 (-8.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -2.2 (-14.2) | 145.7 (-9.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -1.5 (-13.5) | 147.0 (-11.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -1.5 (-13.5) | 145.9 (-9.9) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NDSU 89 – 84 SDAK |
| Dec 31, 2025 | NDSU 84 – 61 SDAK |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SDAK 85 – 84 NDSU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | NDSU 82 – 78 SDAK |
| Jan 18, 2025 | NDSU 103 – 77 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#244) | -2.3 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#185) | 0.09 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#201) | -0.15 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#192) | 0.495 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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