Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +9 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | NWST -5.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -4.0 (+5.0) | 145.8 (+3.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -3.8 (+5.2) | 146.8 (+2.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -3.6 (+5.4) | 147.9 (+1.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -2.9 (+6.1) | 146.8 (+2.2) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NWST 54 – 49 UIW |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UIW 76 – 74 NWST |
| Mar 4, 2025 | NWST 73 – 57 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NWST 72 – 70 UIW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | NWST 81 – 61 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 3-11 |
| Home | 6-6 | 5-10 |
| Away | 2-13 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#343) | -15.0 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.83 (#344) | -3.14 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.41 (#344) | -3.52 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#303) | 0.395 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 28.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 14.3% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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