Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | HC +190 LEH -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HC +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -4.4 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -3.9 (+5.9) | 138.6 (-6.6) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -5.0 (+7.0) | 141.2 (-9.2) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -4.6 (+6.6) | 140.8 (-8.8) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -4.2 (+6.2) | 140.6 (-8.6) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | LEH 69 – 66 HC |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HC 76 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 7, 2026 | LEH 66 – 58 HC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LEH 72 – 60 HC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LEH 69 – 67 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-9 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -16.0 (#351) | -8.1 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.72 (#353) | -1.74 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.49 (#354) | -2.42 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.317 (#358) | 0.409 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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