Betting Lines
| Spread | MTST -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTST +4 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | MTST -7.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTST -4.1 (-0.1) | 146.6 (-12.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTST -6.6 (-2.6) | 148.4 (-14.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTST -6.1 (-2.1) | 150.2 (-16.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTST -6.6 (-2.6) | 149.7 (-15.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | EWU 72 – 71 MTST |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MTST 68 – 64 EWU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MTST 74 – 64 EWU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | EWU 68 – 63 MTST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | EWU 108 – 104 MTST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-1 | 9-3 |
| Away | 9-6 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#140) | -2.5 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#133) | -0.38 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#133) | -0.62 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#140) | 0.472 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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