Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +9 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -1.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -0.2 (-9.2) | 157.8 (+3.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -0.4 (-9.4) | 158.5 (+2.5) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -0.4 (-8.6) | 160.0 (+1.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -0.0 (-9.0) | 159.2 (+1.8) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UNCO 88 – 74 WEB |
| Jan 11, 2026 | WEB 76 – 71 UNCO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UNCO 76 – 52 WEB |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UNCO 68 – 63 WEB |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UNCO 89 – 72 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-9 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#178) | 1.1 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#138) | 0.79 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#145) | 0.99 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#82) | 0.521 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 19.8% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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