Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +7 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -8.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -6.6 (+0.4) | 139.8 (-24.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -7.5 (-0.5) | 144.4 (-29.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -7.0 (-0.0) | 144.3 (-29.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -7.1 (-0.1) | 142.6 (-27.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | W&M 72 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 14, 2026 | ELON 81 – 78 W&M |
| Jan 30, 2026 | ELON 79 – 76 W&M |
| Feb 23, 2025 | W&M 79 – 70 ELON |
| Jan 10, 2025 | W&M 78 – 65 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-7 | 4-10 |
| Away | 3-11 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L10 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#272) | -11.3 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#269) | -2.29 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#265) | -3.20 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#253) | 0.393 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.3% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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