Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -22.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | SDST -7000 UND +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +35 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -25.1 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -17.9 (+17.1) | 157.8 (-0.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -18.9 (+16.1) | 159.8 (-2.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -21.9 (+13.1) | 160.9 (-3.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -20.2 (+14.8) | 161.7 (-4.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SDST 91 – 83 UND |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UND 90 – 87 SDST |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UND 85 – 69 SDST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UND 80 – 75 SDST |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SDST 109 – 73 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 2-16 |
| Home | 14-0 | 4-11 |
| Away | 10-3 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.7 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 80.1 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#75) | -14.1 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#69) | -2.71 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#80) | -3.90 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#49) | 0.363 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.7% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 44.6% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.8% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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