Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +19 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -11.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -10.9 (+8.1) | 146.0 (-3.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -10.3 (+8.7) | 146.7 (-3.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -10.3 (+8.7) | 146.7 (-3.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -10.6 (+8.4) | 146.6 (-3.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | IDHO 77 – 66 MONT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | MONT 73 – 68 IDHO |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MONT 79 – 73 IDHO |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MONT 78 – 55 IDHO |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MONT 72 – 67 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-10 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#220) | -10.9 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#154) | -2.40 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#139) | -2.58 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#164) | 0.387 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 28.6 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 17.6% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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