Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +7 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | JAX -7.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -5.7 (+1.3) | 132.9 (-7.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -5.9 (+1.1) | 137.6 (-12.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -7.0 (+0.0) | 137.7 (-12.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -7.5 (-0.5) | 136.7 (-11.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | JAX 70 – 65 LIP |
| Jan 1, 2026 | LIP 76 – 57 JAX |
| Jan 3, 2025 | LIP 70 – 65 JAX |
| Feb 3, 2024 | LIP 84 – 82 JAX |
| Feb 19, 2023 | LIP 62 – 59 JAX |
Game Analysis
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