Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +10 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | PUR -0.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -1.2 (-11.2) | 154.3 (+1.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -1.1 (-11.1) | 158.4 (-2.4) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -1.1 (-11.1) | 156.2 (-0.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -1.8 (-11.8) | 154.7 (+1.3) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PUR 78 – 57 IOWA |
| Jan 14, 2026 | PUR 79 – 72 IOWA |
| Feb 5, 2025 | PUR 90 – 81 IOWA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | PUR 84 – 70 IOWA |
| Dec 5, 2023 | PUR 87 – 68 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 29-8 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 15.0 (#18) | 18.9 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#37) | 2.96 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.94 (#33) | 3.98 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#43) | 0.617 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 50.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 40.1% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.84 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 58.4% |
| TOV% | 12.6% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 77.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 14.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.