Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +6 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCA -1.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -1.7 (-7.7) | 137.9 (-21.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -2.3 (-8.3) | 137.9 (-21.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -1.6 (-7.6) | 139.0 (-23.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -1.8 (-7.8) | 138.4 (-22.4) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UNCA 77 – 71 GWEB |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNCA 69 – 50 GWEB |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UNCA 78 – 70 GWEB |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UNCA 61 – 53 GWEB |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UNCA 83 – 72 GWEB |
Game Analysis
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