Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | HARV -150 PENN +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | HARV -3.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -3.0 (-7.0) | 145.5 (+6.5) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -1.9 (-5.9) | 146.4 (+5.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -1.9 (-5.9) | 147.3 (+4.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -2.1 (-6.1) | 148.9 (+3.1) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | PENN 62 – 60 HARV |
| Feb 28, 2026 | PENN 64 – 61 HARV |
| Jan 19, 2026 | HARV 64 – 63 PENN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | HARV 79 – 78 PENN |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PENN 82 – 67 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 12-16 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 9-5 |
| Home | 9-6 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#213) | -2.3 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#221) | -0.58 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#229) | -0.45 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#235) | 0.470 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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