Well New York City really has it all. "Sheena Is a Punk Rocker" - The Ramones
Air Force Falcons
61 – 63
FINAL Conference
Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West Conference · Clune Arena · January 28, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WYO -7.5 Home covered
O/U 126.5 Under
Money AF +270 / WYO -340
Model Predictions
Spread Total AF win
Actual WYO +2 124 Lost
Massey WYO -9.9 (+7.9) — —
Massey Totals — 124.5 (-0.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 16% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 9% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WYO -10.1 (+8.1) 127.4 (-3.4) 18% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WYO -8.0 (+6.0) 131.9 (-7.9) 19% ✓
Baseline ML WYO -7.7 (+5.7) 131.9 (-7.9) 20% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WYO -8.7 (+6.7) 129.2 (-5.2) 20% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 WYO 66 – 62 AF
Dec 30, 2025 WYO 68 – 56 AF
Feb 19, 2025 WYO 69 – 62 AF
Jan 4, 2025 WYO 70 – 65 AF
Mar 6, 2024 WYO 74 – 63 AF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings AF WYO
Overall 11-18 25-9
Conference 4-13 13-5
Home 7-6 14-1
Away 2-11 8-5
Neutral 2-1 3-3
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 59.0 71.5
Avg Pts Against 66.0 65.7
Massey -2.8 (#225) 10.6 (#44)
Bradley-Terry 0.32 (#147) 2.54 (#26)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.07 (#171) 3.06 (#29)
RPI 0.495 (#181) 0.607 (#32)
Shooting & Four Factors AF WYO
FG% 44.5% 48.1%
3PT% 36.8% 35.0%
REB / G 28.4 35.2
OREB / G 6.2 7.4
AST / TO 0.89 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.1% 55.5%
TOV% 23.3% 15.7%
ORB% 21.0% 23.5%
FT Rate 16.4% 28.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.5% 46.1%
Opp TOV% 20.7% 15.2%
DRB% 71.1% 74.5%
Opp FT Rate 27.1% 17.0%

Game Analysis

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