Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +10 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -2.1 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -3.8 (-6.2) | 150.9 (+1.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -2.0 (-8.0) | 150.7 (+1.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -2.2 (-7.8) | 150.4 (+1.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -3.0 (-7.0) | 152.7 (-0.7) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | MCN 75 – 65 NICH |
| Jan 13, 2026 | MCN 94 – 68 NICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NICH 71 – 63 MCN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MCN 80 – 71 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MCN 92 – 76 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 11-3 |
| Home | 6-5 | 11-1 |
| Away | 2-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#294) | -1.6 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#284) | -0.93 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#279) | -1.27 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#243) | 0.480 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 12.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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