Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +8 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -6.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -2.7 (+5.3) | 137.0 (-17.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -5.3 (+2.7) | 136.3 (-16.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -5.4 (+2.6) | 137.0 (-17.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -5.6 (+2.4) | 137.8 (-17.8) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | PAC 74 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 9, 2026 | PORT 90 – 89 PAC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | PORT 81 – 73 PAC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | PORT 84 – 81 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2024 | PORT 65 – 60 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 3-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 0-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#239) | -7.1 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#224) | -2.01 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#231) | -2.28 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#262) | 0.398 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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