Betting Lines
| Spread | ULM -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +5 | 95 | Lost |
| Massey | ULM -0.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-49.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -0.1 (-4.9) | 135.2 (-40.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ULM -0.9 (-5.9) | 141.8 (-46.8) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ULM -0.9 (-5.9) | 142.1 (-47.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ULM -0.3 (-5.3) | 139.1 (-44.1) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | GASO 79 – 76 ULM |
| Jan 3, 2025 | GASO 90 – 82 ULM |
| Jan 6, 2024 | GASO 76 – 68 ULM |
| Mar 3, 2023 | GASO 66 – 57 ULM |
| Jan 20, 2023 | ULM 72 – 59 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#280) | -3.1 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#196) | -0.51 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#195) | -0.72 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#167) | 0.460 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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