Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +16 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -13.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-32.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -10.3 (+5.7) | 144.5 (-30.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -10.2 (+5.8) | 146.0 (-32.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -10.6 (+5.4) | 146.1 (-32.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -9.7 (+6.3) | 143.7 (-29.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2022 | CCU 68 – 55 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 9-19 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 3-11 |
| Home | 13-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#141) | -9.1 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#165) | -0.78 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#154) | -1.10 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#166) | 0.450 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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