Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +0 | 0 | Lost |
| Massey | TOW -8.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-144.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -6.1 (-6.1) | 136.0 (-136.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -8.0 (-8.0) | 145.4 (-145.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -7.6 (-7.6) | 146.3 (-146.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -7.4 (-7.4) | 141.9 (-141.9) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2025 | DEL 82 – 72 TOW |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TOW 75 – 70 DEL |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TOW 76 – 66 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2024 | DEL 74 – 62 TOW |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TOW 67 – 56 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 11-5 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.4 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#90) | 0.5 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#91) | 0.94 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#90) | 1.03 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#92) | 0.541 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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