Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +3 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -1.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -1.9 (-1.1) | 149.5 (-0.5) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -1.6 (-1.4) | 154.9 (-5.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -2.1 (-0.9) | 155.3 (-6.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -2.5 (-0.5) | 154.5 (-5.5) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | HOF 66 – 62 COFC |
| Jan 30, 2026 | COFC 66 – 64 HOF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | COFC 67 – 61 HOF |
| Mar 2, 2024 | COFC 87 – 76 HOF |
| Jan 5, 2024 | COFC 73 – 61 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#176) | 4.7 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#153) | 1.21 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#165) | 1.58 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#161) | 0.588 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 42.1 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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