Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +15 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -1.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -0.5 (-15.5) | 148.4 (+8.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -0.3 (-15.3) | 147.9 (+9.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -0.3 (-15.3) | 148.7 (+8.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -0.3 (-14.7) | 148.6 (+8.4) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 68 SELA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AMCC 68 – 56 SELA |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AMCC 80 – 71 SELA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | AMCC 80 – 68 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 7-7 |
| Home | 10-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#265) | -3.1 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#239) | -0.36 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#246) | -0.65 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#209) | 0.445 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 26.1% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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