Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +6 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -6.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -7.4 (-13.4) | 134.9 (-4.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -3.5 (-9.5) | 135.6 (-5.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -4.5 (-10.5) | 136.9 (-6.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -4.2 (-10.2) | 137.0 (-7.0) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | UCR 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LBSU 88 – 73 UCR |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UCR 87 – 66 LBSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCR 76 – 60 LBSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | LBSU 86 – 67 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 12-3 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#144) | -2.2 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#118) | -0.27 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#141) | -0.04 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#112) | 0.504 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 79.8% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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