Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +13 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -9.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (-21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -6.8 (+6.2) | 132.6 (-19.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -7.2 (+5.8) | 138.2 (-25.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -6.5 (+6.5) | 138.8 (-25.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -7.4 (+5.6) | 134.5 (-21.5) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | GB 85 – 63 YSU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | YSU 88 – 81 GB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | YSU 81 – 77 GB |
| Jan 19, 2025 | YSU 73 – 69 GB |
| Feb 25, 2024 | YSU 71 – 59 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 12-9 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-7 | 4-9 |
| Away | 6-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#245) | -10.1 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#278) | -2.89 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#276) | -3.45 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#289) | 0.374 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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