Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -15.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -11.7 (-4.7) | 130.1 (+6.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -13.4 (-6.4) | 130.8 (+6.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -13.4 (-6.4) | 131.4 (+5.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -11.5 (-4.5) | 131.5 (+5.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 60 HAW |
| Jan 25, 2026 | HAW 89 – 68 CSUN |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 73 HAW |
| Jan 17, 2025 | CSUN 83 – 60 HAW |
| Mar 15, 2024 | HAW 75 – 68 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 3-13 |
| Home | 10-4 | 4-11 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#139) | -10.7 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#182) | -1.62 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#172) | -2.09 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#208) | 0.429 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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